Russian vector in Serbian politics: impacts and outcomes on regional relations

Proroković, Dušan (2020) Russian vector in Serbian politics: impacts and outcomes on regional relations. In: Security challenges and the place of the Balkans and Serbia in a changing world. Institute of International Politics аnd Economics, Belgrade, pp. 196-211. ISBN 978-86-7067-275-8

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Abstract

The thesis of Russian malignant influence has been one of the key factors of the homogenization of the EU foreign policy since 2014. Although it has been declared that full EU membership is Serbia’s strategic goal, in this period, we are detecting Belgrade’s intensive collaboration with Russia. The number of bilateral meetings has been increased, the number of interstate agreements has multiplied, military cooperation intensified, and public opinion towards Russia is more positive than negative (which can be seen in the results of opinion polls). Serbia is striving for the EU, but its foreign policy is not at all in line with the proclaimed foreign policy goals of the EU and other key European countries (Germany, France, the UK). To some extent, it can even be stated that Serbia remains the last ‘island of Russophilia’ west of the border of Belarus. The question is: why? This article first analyzes the historical and political reasons for strengthening Russian influence in Serbia, as well as Serbia’s interests to work more closely with Russia, regardless of the EU. Then, the ‘character of the Russian vector’ on Serbian politics will be examined - its political, economic, and military dimension. The third part of the paper seeks to answer the question: how will it affect regional relations? The fourth part is the concluding considerations.

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